Coronavirus, The Early November Edition

Coronavirus, The Early November Edition
By the Numbers

Apologies:

I had a fatal copy/paste error that destroyed the previous edition.  This rewrite is much briefer and will not have many supporting links usually littering my missives.

The Numbers:

The decline rate of daily new cases has dropped to about .33%. (that's point 33 percent) While any drop is good, this rate had been dropping over 1.5% per day, and so this is dismaying. The average number of new cases is around 56,000 per day. For this surge, the peak average for a week was 133,000 around early September.

The estimated number of total cases has dropped from 1.85 million two weeks ago to 1.52 million. Peak for this surge was around 3.1 million.

In 12 reporting districts (usually states), this current surge is still growing. They are:

Reporting Region     Weekly  New Cases Percentage

New Mexico 10076 142.66%
Utah             16340 121.46%
Arizona         32954 120.45%
Alabama          3929 119.93%
District Of Columbia 1234 115.98%
Illinois             23990 114.48%
Colorado         28862 111.72%
Minnesota     35056 111.19%
Maine               6666 102.92%
Nevada             6834 101.38%
California          63703 100.41%

North Dakota 6946 100.27%

The areas in greatest decline, by percentage, are:
Florida             19427 64.52%
Nebraska          4306 63.40%
South Carolina 7663 62.88%
Puerto Rico         133 62.74%
Federal Prisons 7749 62.03%
Oklahoma          8188 59.09%
Tennessee         9969 58.36%
Navajo Nation      89 56.33%
Iowa                      362 55.61%
New Hampshire 2231 48.02%

Total Cases:

I was challenged with the fact that there have been more Covid cases since the vaccines were developed than before and the challenger concluded that not only they were worthless, but harmful.  This is a case of looking only at a single data point and drawing a conclusion.

First, she was right.  There were 23 million cases before the vaccine, and 23 million more as of October, 2021.  But in 2020, we started with zero cases in March, and grew to 23 million in the next 10 months.  When the vaccine was introduced, the USA hit 301,000 new cases in a single day, and 5 million were currently infected.  That is a big head start to start counting on.  15.5 million from Dec 2020 to Jun 1, 2021 while the daily count of new cases dropped to 5,200.

This current surge since June has added 8 million more cases.

Best Quote:

“It's clear that there's a lot of human wood out there for this coronavirus forest fire to burn.”  Dr Osterholm, MPH, University of Minnesota.

Aaron Rodgers:

I can’t let this one go. Aaron Rodgers, #12, Green Bay Packers, one of the best quarterbacks to ever play the game, has tested positive for Covid. In previous interviews he described him self as immune to Covid, without actually stating he was vaccinated.

To be clear, any attempt to deceive is a LIE. Regardless of how you phrase it.

He has complained about sanctimonious vaccine advocates doing witch hunts against freedom loving Americans.

His claimed immunity was due to a cocktail of monoclonal antibodies, Ivermectin, vitamins C, D and Hydroxychloroquine. 4 out of 5 of those has been shown to be totally ineffective against any virus, let alone Covid. Monoclonal antibodies is probably the most expensive way to treat the disease. Last time I checked that treatment costs between 2 and $3,000 per shot, two shot minimum. And monoclonal antibodies only last about 1 month.

This man doesn’t need a witch hunt, he needs to be THE poster child for the ineffectiveness o of Ivermectin and Hydroxychloroquine. 

Anecdotal:

The number of people I can actually put a face to that has contracted Covid is now 12  2 dead, 5 described as unhospitalized, but had a bad go of it.  4 with long hauler effects. In addition, my nephew, who contracted Covid in February, was vaccinated in May, is on his second bout. He had a bad go of it in February, fighting the virus for 3 weeks, but the second time was 3 days “flu” and done. 

 

Though anecdotal, this lends credence to the Natural Immunity only lasting 3-6 months.   And the vaccine radically reduces the symptoms.

It's a pernicious bug.