The First 30 days of 47 (Additional)

Trump is continuing to try to overturn the 14th amendment.  Claiming that it only applied to freed slaves.

He is showing off images of himself with a crown, declaring "Long live the king!"

Fired 3,000 park rangers.  Just because...

Is trying to kill windmills, because he doesn't understand the science, and he just doesn't like them.

He pardoned thousands of the insurrection on Jan 6, 2021.  Many have been arrested for various crimes already.

Trump has floated the idea of sending $5,000  to all tax payers paid for with DOGE savings.  This would amount to $765 billion.  (check my math here.  153 million federal tax payers, times 5,000 is... The number still holds) So far, DOGE is claiming $55 billion as of 2/21/2025.   2/3rds of which are not specified, and 8 million of that was improperly logged in as 8 billion.  So the number is really at 9 billion.

Lets add in the savings from firing of 275,000 government employees, and assume $100,000 yearly for each.  That is $27.5 billion dollars per annum.  Lets just double that number for infrastructure and corruption costs.  That would be 55 billion per year, 210 billion total by the time Trump is irrelevant.  Where is the $765 billion coming from?  I am sure that Elon Trump doesn't know.  They have people to do the math.  And they are not very good at it...

No surprise, they are lying again!  Why are they believed?  Because Faux does a really good job of lying to its watchers.

Trump is floating the idea of starting up phase IV of the Keystone Pipe line again.   There is little interest.  Why?  Because Oil has been hovering around $72 a barrel for several years.  Canadian shale is the most expensive oil to extract, estimates range from $55 to $75 a barrel.  The only time the oil companies care is when oil is over $100/barrel.  See A Tale of Two Pipelines

Trump went on a total rampage against Zelenskyy because the President of Ukraine dared to say he was living in a delusional bubble.  Then Trump proved Zelenskyy's point by going on a twitter storm repeating Moscow's propaganda.  

Trump's vindictiveness is on full display here.  He hates Zelenskyy because the man dared to reject a quid pro quo of $400 million to investigate Hunter Biden.

The US has dropped the prosecution of war crimes, including genocide and the use of gas weapons, against Putin.

Trump lied that Ukraine started the current war.  Somehow arraigning for several Russian armies to attack on multiple fronts.   

Trump lied that Ukraine lost half the $350 billion dollars the US sent due to corruption.  When the US sent about only $125 billion.  

Trump lied that the US sent $200 billion to Ukraine more than Europe.  Europe has sent $258 billion so far, about $128 billion more than the US.

Like any tyrant that has had someone stand up to him, Trump fled to a different battleground and decided to set up a "Gotcha" moment with the Governor of Maine, Janet Mills.  He threatened to withhold from the state education dollars because Maine is still permitting transgender athletes participating in girls and women's sports.  He insists this is a FEDERAL law and all must bow to submit.  On the other hand, all other women's health rights are state rights.  Hypocrisy at it's best.  She looked him in the eye and replied, "See you in court."  Proving that Governor Mills and Liz Cheny have more balls than the rest of congress combined.

But that case will be irrelevant, as DOGE will, and with Congresses hearty approval, dismantle the Department of Education.  That will mean there will be no money for him to withhold.

Googling "how many high school transgender athletes are there?"  Gets an estimate of between 10 and 30 nationwide.  So why is this such a hot button issue?  Because Fox news pummels it way out of proportion.  Think Anti-Trans Tuesday on FOX!.  (I made that up, don't repeat it)

Trump caved on his tariff threats on Mexico and Canada after about 24 hours.   Achieving nothing but was agreed to by the previous administration except, Canada promised to do better to control the flow of Fentanyl.  Currently, and estimated point2 percent comes from Canada.  About one briefcase's worth.  While many tons from Mexico, but made in China.

But Tariffs are being threatened again.  This time the markets believe him and plunged 1,300 points in two days. 

Our dear leader in charge of Free Speech, seems to have a problem with free speech.   AP news is no longer allowed in the White House, and the newly weaponized Department of Justice is investigating a member of Congress, Robert Garcia, because he called Elon a dick. 

While President Elon Musk garners most of the headlines, lets drill down to the mini-Musks. 

The chief conspiracy nutter in charge of the  Health and Human Services insists that vaccines are unnecessary or should be delayed for black people.  Why?  He stated that there were, but didn't name them, a series of studies that show that.  Possibly referring to the Yellow Fever Epidemic of 1793.  Where it was believed that blacks suffered less than whites.  But far more likely they just were not counted.  

Now any rational person would see this is just raciest rhetoric in its meanest form.  But here we are.  51 senators heard this and said, "Sounds good to me!"

Pete Hegseth negotiated a peace settlement for the Ukraine v Russia war where Ukraine gives back the Kursk region, while Russia keeps the Ukrainian land it has taken, and pays no reparations.  This is called, Surrender.

+1. In a classic scam tactic, the US is giving Ukraine only 1 hour to surrender control of its rare earth deposits in a deal that , as described by the mini musk, Scott Pissant, would defray some of the costs of the US aid sent to Ukraine.

Again. Ukraine Surrenders. Putin then gets to sell oil at market prices.

+2. Staff at the U.S. farm, environment and interior agencies have been instructed by the Trump administration not to speak with the U.S. Congress, Representative Chellie Pingree said in a letter sent to the agency administrators on Thursday.

And let’s not forget that due to an executive order, Doge is not subject to the Freedom of information requests till 2036.

This is called “Transparency.”

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DOGE Lies

Feb 17, 2025.  The Department of Government Efficiency continues to hack into and away at our governmental structures. Our Republican controlled Congress looks on effetely.  It is really obvious that my previous party of 40 years, has taken to heart the axiom of "party before country."

DOGE to show relevance, has made claim after claim of discovery of waste and fraud.   Clearly implying, where there is smoke, there is fire."  It is a con man's trick, to inundate people with information, so they don't have time to think.

Early on, I was checking into some of the items.  And the first 3 I looked into were all deceptive.  Not just cherry picked to trigger the Maga-hats.  But also misrepresented, exaggerated, or just out and out lies.

A LGBTQ concert, funded by USAID,  put on in Ireland. First reported as $20,000, but later read into the congressional record at over $60,000. And as it turns out, wasn't funded by USAID.  

$50,000,000 for condoms to Gaza.  Later a Republican congressman read this line item as $100 million.  There is no evidence this is true.  The USAID budget for condoms for the entire world was $8 million.  When question on this, Elon Musk replied, "Not Everything I Say Is True."

Millions of Americans in the Social Security that are over 150 years old.   Initially, no facts.  When he did present actual data, it was everyone in the social security system where their "isDead" flag was not set.  About 20 million were listed over the age of 100, out of an estimated true number of 100,000.  Problem is, in 2023, the Inspector General also ran that query, but included the filter "and also not receiving benefits for over 50 years."  And the count went down by 18.9 million.  The remaining million certainly has some fraud in it.  But probably most of them would filter out as well if we add to the query, "and not receiving benefits for over 20 years."  We could ask the Inspector General, but he was fired by DOGE.

The official number of centenarians collecting Social Security in 2023 is 73,815.  The number of centenarians living in the US is 101,000.  https://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/statcomps/supplement/2024/highlights.html

“USAID spent $6 million on tourism in Egypt.”  This funding was for education and economic development in North Sinai, aka Gaza, and about not Tourism.  And it was funded in 2019, so Trump.  Oddly, I don't see any Republican uproar over his proposed rebuilding of Gaza now.  At a significantly larger, 200B to 2 trillion dollar, price point.

 “USAID spent $47,000 on a transgender opera in Colombia.”  But later read into the congressional record at over $74,000. And as it turns out, wasn't funded by USAID (either).

 What happened to his claim of 150 billion spent on radical groups? Zero specifics offered.

 Military spending $9 million payment to Reuters for a “large scale social deception” project. Implying the news service.  But actually spent to Thomson Reuters Special Services, a research group on  research for “automated defense against social engineering attacks.”  R&D is something that the Military does. 

  $23 million to the USAID chief Samantha Power.  Truth is her salary was 183,000 for 4 years.

 $84 million to Chelsea Clinton from USAID?  No, but there was 7.5 million sent to Clinton Health Access Initiative, to fund health services in Zambia, in 2019.  So 10 times the exaggeration, and for a charity.  Again, under Trump.

 Reports of payouts for trips by celebrities to Ukraine.  No evidence offered.   

 Claims that the Politico was paid millions to write good stories for Democrats.  The total was actually $44,000, for the paid subscriptions.  

In their weekend raid on the Treasury, which resulted in the Treasury official David Lebryk resigning rather than give the keys of the Treasury to Musk's "Landing Team." We were first told they would have "read only" access.  While it was reported that they were plugging in and downloading everything they could.  And inserting code.  Then it was reported they did have write access, but only for a little while.  They have been order to give back what was stolen, but haven't as of yet.

Meanwhile DOGE has fired the people in charge of securing our nuclear weapons, ALL the Inspector Generals,  over 1,000 staff from the VA, park rangers,  10% of the CDC, while proposing to shutter the weather service, and demoralizing the FAA. 

 DOGE made a claim that they have found over a billion dollars in fraudulent spending.   But one item, a new embassy at 750 million was most of the line item.

So when the Maga-hats are thinking, "Where there is smoke, there is fire."  We Agree!

 

 

 

 

 

 

Differences Between Europe and America

 Differences Between Europe and the United States

Humor disclaimer.  Side comments below are meant to be taken as humorous, and not serious critiques.  

I have not been to Europe since my Navy days, so effectively, Europe is new to me.  We spent 2 weeks in Lisbon, and Paris, though 3 days in Disney Paris probably doesn't count.

Most of us are of European descent, so culturally, there are far more similarities than differences.  Though we are separated by 3,000 miles of ocean, there is going to be some differences.  Heck, that 50 feet between New York and Canada has differences.

A major reason for the differences was the world wars.  A lot of Europe had to be rebuilt, and it shows in new cities and infrastructure.  Another difference is Europe has a population similar to the US, but about half the land mass.  Europe has fewer resources in general and so has increased awareness on conservation.

Europe has their own businesses, and the European Union works to protect those businesses, rather than surrender to the industrial and technological juggernaut that is the US.

And they have the metric system.

When the common market was created, many standards were put in place so that when trade occurred, it was an apples to apples comparison.  Due to all the languages spoken, signage was fairly standardized as well.  

All this can be described as, "Adapting to their environment."

The first thing I noticed was the air conditioning.  It was certainly running, but about 1-2 degrees C (1.8-3.6 degrees real) warmer.  Just above my comfort range.  It occurred to me, that because Americans live in an energy opulent environment, we keep our temperatures lower. 

The Lisbon airport felt new.  From what I read, it was seriously renovated in 2007, 2010 and 2013. Signage was easy to understand.  Even though it was around 9am, bathrooms were being diligently cleaned by teams of cleaners.  This team theme is was noted in a number observed customer services in Europe.

Our wait through customs was not long.  Despite being tired from the over night flight.  About 3 lines of maybe 50 people per line was processed in about 10 minutes.

Compared to the hour+ waiting to be allowed back into the states two weeks later.

When departing the Lisbon and Charles-de-Gaulle airports was a different experience.  Long lines getting through the X-Ray systems.  Then to be shunted through what can only be described as a shopping mall.  Not just a "duty free" shop, but an entire mall.  In Lisbon's case, it wasn't clear which way to go through the first shop to get to the concourse.  Left? Right? It didn't matter because the people in front of you trying to dodge the gondolas festooned with fragile items in their path didn't know either.

Charles-de-Gaulle airport was much more maneuverable, and signage made your path clearer, but it was no less of a mall finding your airplane.

Our driver was awaiting for us and diligently took care of our bags into a Mercedes.  The car looked brand new. His electronic suite would have felt at home on a fighter jet.

The highways looked new, and clean.

I have read reasons for European highways being so nice.  Some say they build deeper beds for longer endurance.  So higher upfront costs begetting longer lasting roads.

But another reason postulated is that their roads are subjected to lesser loads.  Their trucks are lighter and operate at lower speeds, so the wear on the roads is less.

Lisbon is a bustling city, but the noise levels on the street are much lower than Philadelphia.  There seems to be a very high level of electric vehicles.  This was hammered home when an actual gas-powered cycle passed us, and after it was gone, how the street noise returned to a minimal level.

They have Bidets.

Everyone that used them, and that included a number of 60+ year old men, and everyone liked them.

They also have added a new twist to the which way does the toiled paper roll go.

Under and side to side!

All the food was excellently flavored, drool worthy even!

The Francesinha, stuffed with steak and pork, surrounded by mozzarella, topped by an egg and slathered in au jus!

 

 

Breakfast buffets.  We were at three different hotels in two countries.  All had robust breakfast buffets. Baked beans was a common item.  Probably because of the UK patronage, as beans are a common breakfast fare there.  They also have boiling water and egg holders and timers available for soft boiled eggs, and espresso.

In France, cheese to die for!  

Peanut butter is non-existent.   While Nutella is everywhere.

Fruit platters are available, but they do not remove stems and leave the seeds in. 

Bananas taste different.  Probably they are harvested from different sources.

As one family left their table, a squad of 7 attendants took to clearing and cleaning the table.  They all had their roles, 3 at a time moving in with removal, then the next 3 cleaning over and under, and a manager to fill in the gaps as needed.  It was an amazing thing to watch.

And espresso  It doesn't make much, the above is a double, but it is a coffee flavor bomb.

The espresso was amazing!!!  Flavor rating 110 out of 100!!!  And this was just out of the room Nespresso maker! My "Mr Coffee" espresso machine is going to be replaced very soon*.

Litter in the streets was minimal. Not that there wasn't litter, but it seemed much reduced, and more noticeable by it's absence.   Also noticeable was the minimal number of trash cans on the street.  In Philadelphia, if there were 3 large bins on a block, rest assure all three would be overflowing, and there would be an abundance of trash in the street.  

Europeans have not been convinced by the water bottle companies that they will absolutely die if they don't have at least a six pack of bottled water on them at all times.

What water bottles there are, have caps that cannot be removed.  While this does nothing for the amount of plastic created, it does reduce the number of pieces of trash created.

They do serve bottled water at restaurant tables.  Even if the tap water is safe, I am guessing this has to do with assurance you won't get ill from drinking the water.

And there was surprising lack of urine smells.  Not totally gone, but very minimal.

In Europe, the main floor is floor zero. The basement is -1.  None of this trying to name the main/lobby/ground/first floor.  If you are on the first floor, you are one story up.  The reason is probably Metric.

They write in cursive.  Including about a quarter of the signage.   

*and it was.

Coronavirus, Mid-September, 2024

 

Coronavirus, End of September, 2024

 By the Numbers

Some of this information is old, as I am trying to keep these missives to once every 2 months.

The Numbers: 

The number of Covid cases has been climbing steadily over the summer. This is born out in the statistics on the number of hospitalizations from Covid.  From a low of 1.1 hospitalizations per 100,000 population in April, to 2.5 in June, to 4.8 in August.  This has started to drop by the end of August.

Peak for the year was the first week in January at 7.6.  For a comparison, the peak for last year was 7.7, in Dec, 2023, and the year before at 10.9 in December, 2022.

Source Covid-19 hospitalizations here...

The number of weekly deaths has risen to about 700 in July/August, to just over 1,000 in September.  This is up from 330 in May. Peak for the year was 2,500 in January.   See here...

The pattern for rise and fall has been nearly identical since 2021.

And where is Covid increasing?  Here is a link to the wastewater tracking information...  This chart used to be more localized "dots" on a map, but now it is just state by state. 

Dominant Variants in the US:

Various KP's, 83%

LB.1  11% and declining

Others   6%

Per CDC tracker...

I was traveling in a plane earlier in August, and got a renewal of the older booster.  I have had 3 friends catch Covid recently while attending a convention a spacious, well ventilated convention center.  This also means I won't be eligible for the latest formulation until November or so.

I'm almost at that "free" shot.

Free At Home Tests

Last month, the government announced a renewal of free at home Covid tests starting later in September. Not yet available till Septembers end.  But the link should be here.

New Booster Available

The FDA has approved updated Covid booster shots to be available soon.  They are "Comirnaty", by Pfizer-BioNTech, "Novavax",  and Spikevax by Moderna.  

Both boosters are based on the variant  KP.2.  I see that Spikevax is recommended for ages 12 and up.  Comirnaty ages 6 months and up. 

The previous booster, available from 2023 till August 2024, was based on the variant BA.5 and the original virus.

The new boosters should be available as of this publishing.   Recommended for all at risk population who has not had a booster or case of Covid within the last 4 months.  And face it, everyone on my email list is in that group.

Personal Experience with Covid

I have been writing these missives for over 4 years now.  More or less trying to provide the straight information, but without any first hand experience.

Until now.

I flew to Europe for a gaming competition and then followed on with a site seeing tour of Lisbon, Euro-Disney and Paris.  8 days after arrival, Joanne came down with what we now believe to be Covid.  At the time it seemed like a head cold, a seasonal crud, and after napping most of the day, she was out and about.  The Paris bus tour, the Louvre, Eiffel Tower and dinner cruises.  All with a fair amount of foot pounding.

3 days later we boarded the plane for home and I slowly declined during the flight.  I must have looked horrible, as 3 strangers asked me if I need help going through the de-boarding process. Two worked for American Airlines, so full marks for customer service.  One of them followed me briefly with a wheel chair.  

On arriving home, and feeling worse, I took an expired (all my at home tests are expired at this time) Covid test and it reported an emphatically positive result.  Joanne took one of the less expired tests and which was also unambiguously positive.  

I have reported before, that the government tests the old tests for efficacy.  The rule of thumb is, if it reports positive, it's positive.  A negative result should be regarded as uncertain.

Slept for 12 hours, woke up, my phone's face recognition software did not know who I was.  Or maybe it was just a bad hair day. :)

At 8:30, I called the VA.  The VA called back within the hour. They accepted my test results as valid, and ordered Paxlovid(tm) for treatment.  By 11am, I had taken the first dose.  By noon, I was back in bed.  At three I woke up with, "My God, 'IS THAT MY BREATH!'"  I had read about it, heard some commentary, and if I was lackadaisical in my responses, for that, I am truly sorry.

Paxlovid has a bitter tasting compound that  causes your saliva to generate the antigens to deal with the virus.  The counter point is you are going to have bad breath for a while.  

And regarding the aches and pains that is Covid suffering, I did not have enough sympathy there either.

Now back to bed again.

 

Health Benefits of Childhood Vaccines
This is a bit long, and somewhat political and not strictly about COVID.

These are excerpts from the recent CDC report on the "Health and economic benefits of routine childhood Immunization."

In the report summary:
Among children born during 1994–2023, routine childhood vaccinations will have prevented approximately 508 million cases of illness, 32 million hospitalizations, and 1,129,000 deaths, resulting in direct savings of $540 billion and societal savings of $2.7 trillion.

These are big numbers.  Made somewhat possible by the 1994 program, U.S. Vaccines for Children (VFC). Which has covered the cost of vaccines for children whose families might not otherwise be able to afford them.  Published CDC report can be found here: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/73/wr/mm7331a2.htm

Now the Gallup Polling company has been posing a question over time, from 2002 to 2024,  "How important is it that parents get their children vaccinated -- extremely important, very important, somewhat important, not very important or not at all important?"

For all Americans, the number for Very Important or above sat at 64% in 2002.  This declined to 54% in 2015 with a rise to 58% in 2019.  In 2024 fell to 40%.

Part of the reason for the gradual decline from 2002 to 2019 is that for most of our lives, we have lived in a world with a seriously reduced childhood disease environment.  Where as in 2002 many people have lived in pre-polio vaccine world and has memories of measles, mumps and rubella outbreaks maiming and killing children.

Now plus 20 years later, that cultural memory is fading, combined with vaccines have done their job of dealing with the threats very well.

With the politicization of the Covid vaccine, the numbers have gone south quickly.

In the Gallup article, it also covers the same question, indexed against party affiliation for the answer "Extremely Important." 
2002 66% D, 62% R
2015 59% D, 52% R
2019 67% D, 52% R
2024 63% D, 26% R 

So there was a small difference between 'D's and 'R's in 2002.  And with the drop in 2015, the difference tracked together.  Then in 2019, there was an increased separation.  More D's answered "Extremely Important", while the R's stayed the same from 2015.  Now, after 4 years of Covid, the R's response took a dive.

One implication is that the news feeds for the R's were effective in sowing distrust of all government provided information, including the Covid vaccines, and by inference, all vaccines in general.  While promoting ineffective treatments.  But another implication is that having survived the pandemic, other fear mongering has taken it's place.

There was another question, "should the Government require vaccinations for children?"  In 1992, 81% said yes.  In 2019, 62% said yes.  In 2024, 51% said yes.  This breaks down to 69% D and 36% R.

And the final question on the list, "Do you think vaccines are more dangerous than the diseases they are designed to prevent, or not?"
In 2002, the number that replied yes was 6%.  Broken down to 5% D, 6% R
2015 9%    Broken down to 8% D, 8% R
2019 11%   Broken down to 10% D, 12% R
2024 20%   Broken down to 5% D, 31% R

Gallup poll published here: https://news.gallup.com/poll/648308/far-fewer-regard-childhood-vaccinations-important.aspx

Considering how successful childhood vaccinations have been in the last 30 years, we are talking trillions of dollars to the country, it is reprehensible that as one of Trumps stump speech items is that he will, "Sign a new executive order to cut federal funding for any school pushing Critical Race Theory, and I will not give one penny to any school that has a vaccine mandate (emphasis mine) or a mask mandate."  See here:

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/trump-vows-to-defund-schools-requiring-vaccines-for-students-if-hes-reelected

Fast forward to 37 seconds in the video for verification. 

For the sake of full disclosure, the official Republican party platform stops short at de-funding schools at just CRITICAL RACE THEORY, RADICAL GENDER IDEOLOGY, AND OTHER INAPPROPRIATE RACIAL, SEXUAL, OR POLITICAL CONTENT ON OUR CHILDREN, (their caps, not mine) but is silent on vaccinations.  See the official Republican party platform here...

And if you accept that Project 2025 will be used as a blueprint for a Trump administration, it does state,  "Never again should CDC officials be allowed to say in their official capacity that school children “should be” masked or vaccinated (through a schedule or otherwise) or prohibited from learning in a school building."  (emphasis mine).  For a PDF of Project 2025, see here...  page 454.

 

 

 

The Charge of the Tired Vacationer

The Charge of the Tired Vacationer
with apologies to Lord Tennyson.

Half a block, half a block,
Half a block onward,
All in the valley of Disney
Walked the six hundred dollars.
‘Forward to Pooh, we say!
Pass the cars and cups we said.!’
into the valley of Disney
Walked the six hundred.

‘Forward the six hundred!’
Was there a mortal dismayed?
Not though’ the foot did swell,
Or some blister raised.
Theirs not to make reply,
Theirs not to reason why,
Theirs but to walk and die:
Into the valley of Disney
Strolled the six hundred.

Strollers to the right of them,
Wheelchairs to the left of them,
Tourists in front of them,
Jostled and impeded,
Assaulted by sun and sound,
Boldly they strolled and well,
Into the jaws of merchanting,
Into theme park Hell
Rode the six hundred.

Flash Passed their status be,
Scanned their credit cards in air,
Exchanging with the merchants there,
Charging up an army, while
All the world wondered,
Plunged into the faux-smoke.
Right through the queue they broke,
Mickey and Donald
Reeled from their card swipes.
Debited and defaulted,
then they strolled back, but not
Not the Six hundred.

Stores to the right of them,
Peddlers to the left of them,
Restaurants behind of them,
Bassed and trebled,
Assaulted by sound and smell,
While cash and card fell,
They that had saved so well,
Came through the Jaws of Disney,
Back from theme park Hell,
All that was left of them,
Left of the six hundred.

When can their glory fade?
O the wild charge they made!
All the world wondered.
Honour the charge they made!
Honour the Vacationer,
Noble six hundred!

A Week in Politics, Late July

 A Week in Politics, July 21-28, 2024

As a political animal, I try to stay on top of current events.  As a historian, I try to keep a perspective.

But this week, wow.

That Biden would step down was something largely regarded as unthinkable.  It was considered a killer for the party in power.  Last standing president not to run was Lyndon Johnson (D), and the presidency was then decided in favor of Nixon (R).  Before that was Truman (D), and it went to Eisenhower (R).  After that it was Coolidge to Hoover, both R's. So the odds were not good.

But there seemed to be a lot of pressure from the party leaders to step down.  To the jeering for the pundits on right.

Be careful what you wish for.

As far as the news cycle is reporting, this just happened.  The decision was described as "finalized" on July 21.  This I do not believe.  

The reason I do not believe this is because the advertisements to donate to Harris were in my feeds less that a day later.  Through multiple channels.  They were polished and ready.  There was no sign that this was a slap dash put together at the last minute, but a well organized and orchestrated event.  

And she pulled in 200+ million dollars, 66% from first time donors, is evidence of how well this was done.  

Something like this requires talent and time.  Which is why I disbelieve the decision was made on July 21st.  

The timing was too perfect.  The Republicans had just ended their convention anointing Trump / Vance as their ticket.  Typically, a candidate gets a convention bounce in the polls the week after the convention.  Trump's polling was riding high on his surviving the assassination attempt, and ahead of Biden in the swing states that mattered.  He could count on a nice bounce for the following week, possibly all the way to the Democratic National Convention.  

This announcement took the wind out of his sails, in the polls, and it seems to have taken a toll on his personal morale.  His insults had no bite, his witty-in-his-own-mind stories were just sounding weird.  But I get the off the cuff commentary.  Can you imagine the same speech every day, for years.  You got to change it up.  Unfortunately for his staff writers, Trump knows best on how to play his audience. 

Meanwhile, by day 2, Harris had just about everything she needed to lock up her nomination.  By Wednesday, her approval rating was announced as higher than Trump in many of the "Battleground" states.  So Trump did not get a convention bounce, but actually declined.  All the benefit of free advertising from the assassination attempt and the RNC bounce just evaporated.

If Harris wins this election, this was the moment it happened.  It will be regarded as a master stroke.  And who engineered this master stroke?  Our cognitively challenged president, Joe Biden.  Really?  Who else?  He may be in decline, but he has never lost an general election. Ever.  For 54 years!  That doesn't just happen either.  He knows how to play this game to win. 

 

 

Coronavirus, End of July, 2024

Coronavirus, End of July, 2024

 By the Numbers

The Numbers: 

There has been a number of news reports on an increase in Covid cases.  This is born out in the statistics on the number of hospitalizations from Covid.  From a low of 1.1 hospitalizations per 100,000 population in April, to the current 2.5 last week.  

Peak for the year was the first week in January at 7.6.  For a comparison, the peak for last year was 7.7, in Dec, 2023, and 10.9 in December, 2022.

Source Covid-19 hospitalizations here...

The number of weekly deaths has been around 330 since May, down from 500 in the April/May time frame, and 2,500 in January.  See here...

And where is Covid increasing?  Here is a link to the wastewater tracking information...  This chart used to be more localized "dots" on a map, but now it is just state by state. 

Dominant Variants in the US:

Various KP's, 62%

LB.1  17.5

Various JN.1.X's  7%

Per CDC tracker...

A Covid Cannabis Risk Factor?

Between 2/1/2020 and 1/31/2022, UW Health(Wisconsin and Illinois area) asked anyone that showed up at their hospitals with Covid a few questions.  One was had you used cannabis (ingested or smoked) at least once in the previous last year.  They also asked about smoking. The sample looked at 72,000+ Covid cases.  Of which 51,000 were hospitalized, 4,700 were sent to the ICU, and 2,700 died..

The results were that the cannabis users were 1.8 times more likely to have needed hospitalization, and 1.27 times more likely to need ICU over non cannabis users. For Smokers was 1.72 and 1.22.  

From JAMA... 

From what I understand, cannabis use has been associated with suppression of the immune system.  So this would be a correlation to that.

From NCBI...

 

Have You Seen This Gene?

In 2021 UK researchers intentionally infected 16, unvaccinated, but otherwise healthy people with Covid to study how the disease progresses. Of them, only 6 contracted the disease.  Of the 10 remaining, 7 never tested positive at all.  3 never felt sick, but tested positive.  

These 10 had an "high expression"* from the gene, HLA-DQA2.  Noted was an immediate interferon response in the nasal passages.  The 3 that never felt sick had interferon response in their blood.  Sick individuals took up to 5 days for the interferon response to show up.

See the BMJ...

So if you have never gotten Covid, it could be your genetics.

*what does "high expression" mean?  I have no clue.