Thursday, November 5, 2020

What Will Trump Do?


WWTD?  What Will Trump Do?

I have thought about some of the great dictators of the 20th century, and how they were all insane.

Not insane like drooling on the mat, or randomly spouting nonsense, but insane from the point of view of normal people.  When looking at the same situation, they would do something that no one sane would do.  The term “Power corrupts” comes to mind, but I think there is more cause and effect than that.

No dictator gets to the top without support and competition.  To be at the top means you beat all the competition in a brutal environment where making the wrong decision could likely lead to your death.  You could say these dictators were more ruthless, cunning, or lucky, but I don’t think that matters.  I look at it from a probability point of view.

For example, say we have 256 wannabe dictators, and then, through various machinations there are now 128.  It doesn’t matter how, what matters is that we have 128 wannabe’s that made the right choices, and 128 did not.  Repeat that to 64, then 32, and so on, so that in the end there is one.  And he was there because he always made the right choice.  I think this develops a sense of infallibility.  So when something earth shaking truly occurs, they literally do not have the skills anymore to cope with failure. And they break.  Some examples: 

Stalin: When the Germans attacked and destroyed all the Soviet armies in 1941, Stalin went to his dacha and hid for 3 weeks.  He was dug out by Felix (Head of intelligence) and Timshenko (Head of the Army) and he fully expected them to shoot him for his failure.  Instead they told him to LEAD, they would run the country, but he had to do his part.  The rest is history.

Nicolae Ceaușescu:  Dictator of Romania, overthrown by the Velvet Revolution.  He fled the country.  He was safe!  But saw the news casts of his country falling apart and decided his people both loved him and needed him.  So he and his wife returned.  The crowd said “Thank you very much.”, and both he and his wife were executed.  His son saw the same footage and got on a plane to China.  Where he was last reported as a manager at an amusement park.

Saddam Hussein: When he realized his army would not fight to the last man, he hid in a bunker.  His son’s, both murderous bastards and rapists, at least had the decency to shoot it out with American troops.

Idi Amin: when overthrown, he fled to Saudi Arabia.  Which took him in because he had converted to Islam, and refused extradition.  Or maybe because he managed to smuggle around 100 million dollars out.

Hitler:  Adolf actually “broke” in the winter of 1941.  The Germans were in retreat before the full force of the Russian winter.  You can see it in his hand writing.  It goes from normal, to broken and opposite slant letters in the same word.  A sign of psychotic break.  When faced with capture, he hid and then committed suicide.

Mussolini: Benito Mussolini was first removed from power and taken into custody.  Then later rescued by SS Commandos, put in charge of Northern Italy.  Eventually he fled, but was captured and executed.

So, What Will Trump Do?  Hide awaiting extradition? Suicide?  Hide while sending his sons to war? Flee the country with his ill gotten gains? Time will tell.

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