Friday, March 11, 2022

Coronavirus, Early March Edition, 2022

 Coronavirus, Early March Edition, 2022

By the Numbers
 
The Numbers:
On Mar 2, we dipped below a million active cases (yeah!), the last time it was that few, was July, 2021.  Yesterday the calculated number of cases was 648,000.  That number, last seen when declining, was in late May, 2021.  The rate of decline is also dropping, from 6%, per day, for most of February, to 4% in March.  

The number of deaths per day is also dropping to an average of just around 1,000 a day, from a peak of around 2,800 in January.

In Pennsylvania, the number of vaccinated has edged up very slightly from 64% at the end of last year to 67% so far this year. So the unvaccinated are selectively hearing the message that Omicron is not as dangerous, and missing the point that in 3 months of the Omicron wave had nearly as many cases, 24 million, as the the rest of the year 2021 at 25 million.
 
Nothing new here, but the unvaccinated vs vaccinated percentage hospitalized cases for Covid continue to dominate in favor of the unvaccinated.   In Pennsylvania, the hospitalization rates for Covid are 83/17 for unvaccinated vs vaccinated, and deaths break 80/20.  See here...

Multiply that out against the population differences, and the dying of Covid are about 15 to 1 unvaccinated to vaccinated.
 
Novavax:
A fourth vaccine is about to be approved in the USA, Novavax.  This vaccine has been approved for 4 months in other countries.  Clinical trials have it's efficacy at 90%.  It is recommended that this vaccine be a 3 dose regimen.  

Novavax is being heralded as an answer to the anti-vax resistance movement, as it was created using traditional methods, vice the mRNA methodology of the Moderna and Pfizer vaccines.  One can hope, but the refuseniks are so entrenched in warped logic and politics that I don't see that happening. 
 
The Yankee Candle Index:
When my son passed this one to me I thought it was a joke, but apparently this has been looked into several times.  If you count the Amazon reviews of Yankee candles, there is a correlation between Covid spikes and complaints that the candles have no smell.  The thought is that there are more infections of Covid than is known.  
 

The red line is complaints about Yankee candles.
 
In Home Covid Tests:
The government supplied tests for Covid  I ordered arrived this week.  Early adopters reported they got theirs within a week.  I wasn't one of them so mine arrived about 4 weeks after ordered.  I am guessing the government had to restock their supplies.  I opened one immediately and deployed it:


I couldn't resist










 
 




 
 


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